Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.313939 0.413551 0.522582 0.648965 0.789795 0.940485 1.112577
2025-10-19 0.203472 0.340177 0.505998 0.713195 0.957980 1.232142 1.557176
2025-10-26 0.143444 0.293896 0.491517 0.751281 1.069332 1.434897 1.877052
2025-11-02 0.092406 0.243474 0.460471 0.760448 1.140029 1.586303 2.135240
2025-11-09 0.044501 0.177600 0.394995 0.714881 1.135144 1.641496 2.275358
2025-11-16 0.014839 0.122234 0.331644 0.662397 1.114120 1.671541 2.380945
2025-11-23 0.003513 0.091233 0.298052 0.645246 1.134107 1.748236 2.539217
2025-11-30 0.000333 0.075220 0.286048 0.656780 1.190184 1.868504 2.749168
2025-12-07 NaN 0.056945 0.264545 0.650923 1.220760 1.955281 2.917229
2025-12-14 NaN 0.037943 0.234350 0.627552 1.224682 2.006350 3.040017
2025-12-21 NaN 0.035578 0.242403 0.666166 1.315368 2.169033 3.301055
2025-12-28 NaN 0.034093 0.252230 0.707611 1.410082 2.337034 3.568895
2026-01-04 NaN 0.030410 0.256352 0.741589 1.497758 2.500671 3.837647
2026-01-11 NaN 0.031400 0.274512 0.800624 1.622686 2.714449 4.171051
2026-01-18 NaN 0.029665 0.283749 0.843784 1.724412 2.897627 4.465882
2026-01-25 NaN 0.022770 0.274072 0.852781 1.776144 3.015079 4.678303
2026-02-01 NaN 0.010471 0.234647 0.804541 1.741838 3.017670 4.745091
2026-02-08 NaN 0.002615 0.194283 0.748583 1.692561 2.997976 4.781764
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000428 0.174860 0.730301 1.698323 3.050578 4.909040
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000045 0.170638 0.742602 1.750940 3.166453 5.117254
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.158352 0.736355 1.773948 3.241634 5.272949
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.138773 0.711406 1.766144 3.273838 5.372666
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.147901 0.752613 1.864308 3.452196 5.661725